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Lessons from Celtics-Mavericks Game 1: Just win



In Game 1, the Celtics exhibited both their best and worst qualities in a single quarter. While their eventual victory made the rollercoaster performance inconsequential, it does raise questions about potential future implications.


Reflecting on Game 1, where the Celtics displayed a familiar flaw of squandering substantial leads, I couldn’t help but ponder an intriguing scenario for the season's conclusion. Last year, they often lost games in similar fashion, though usually with smaller leads. This isn't unique to the Celtics; in the NBA, teams frequently chip away at large leads due to adrenaline and the opposition easing up.


I won’t criticize the Celtics for easing off; it's human nature. Imagining a hypothetical timeout exchange where players decide to stop trying is amusing but unrealistic. Instead, what happens is a subconscious shift in urgency when the team is comfortably ahead. In high-stakes moments, players naturally give their all, but a 29-point lead changes the dynamic.

Even the best teams can’t maintain peak desperation without the immediate threat of losing. While stats on maintaining large leads aren’t readily available, it would be fascinating to compare the Celtics' performance in such situations to other teams.


Historically, the Celtics have had issues beyond mere human nature. Their tendency to blow leads seemed less about strategy and more about a psychological freeze, waiting for the other team to falter. This perception, shared by many fans, suggests a deeper issue that resonates despite a lack of concrete stats.


Another factor could be the timing of their leads. The Celtics' talent often allows them to dominate early, flipping the mental switch too soon and giving opponents ample time to mount a comeback. Additionally, three-point shooting variance plays a role, with early hot streaks stabilizing over the course of the game.

The TD Garden crowd also plays a part, acting like an Apple Watch that monitors every nuance of the team's performance. Any shift in momentum triggers anxiety, affecting both the fans and the players, leading to a feedback loop of tightening up and escalating pressure.


Fortunately, in Game 1, the Celtics managed to regain control, securing a convincing win. This persistent pattern of losing and regaining leads prompts a broader question: does it ultimately matter?


With the Celtics just three wins away from an NBA championship, the narrative of "blowing leads" might not hold much weight if they continue to win despite mid-game fluctuations. Mazzulla Ball, characterized by a heavy reliance on three-pointers, can often bypass traditional NBA challenges. Even if they blow leads, their talent and offensive strategy could see them through.

Personally, I’ve spent countless hours worrying about the Celtics' lack of killer instinct with big leads. Game 1 was a bizarre blend of both maintaining and losing control. I’ve decided to let go of these concerns. The Celtics could lose leads repeatedly, but as long as they win in the end, it doesn’t matter. All that matters now is winning, by any means necessary.

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